Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Arizona
Big Sky
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#307
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#290
Pace72.9#60
Improvement-4.8#321

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#282
Improvement-3.4#308

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#306
Improvement-1.4#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 41   @ Oregon L 73-83 3%     0 - 1 +3.5 +0.9 +3.8
  Nov 12, 2012 31   @ UNLV L 54-92 2%     0 - 2 -22.8 -16.5 -0.2
  Nov 18, 2012 199   @ UC Davis W 85-82 15%     1 - 2 +4.5 +5.2 -0.8
  Nov 23, 2012 213   Jacksonville St. L 48-50 25%     1 - 3 -4.6 -17.4 +12.4
  Nov 24, 2012 298   Campbell W 70-62 48%     2 - 3 -0.9 -4.1 +3.7
  Nov 28, 2012 18   @ Arizona L 50-93 2%     2 - 4 -26.2 -14.7 -12.3
  Dec 01, 2012 235   Sam Houston St. W 77-60 42%     3 - 4 +9.5 +2.8 +6.5
  Dec 05, 2012 207   Loyola Marymount L 86-92 OT 35%     3 - 5 -11.5 +5.3 -16.4
  Dec 17, 2012 311   Montana St. W 87-80 63%     4 - 5 1 - 0 -5.9 -5.8 -1.0
  Dec 19, 2012 148   Montana L 56-62 25%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -8.4 -19.5 +11.2
  Dec 21, 2012 45   @ Colorado L 51-98 3%     4 - 7 -33.6 -15.9 -15.4
  Dec 27, 2012 62   @ BYU L 54-84 4%     4 - 8 -18.8 -21.1 +6.6
  Jan 03, 2013 286   Sacramento St. W 57-50 57%     5 - 8 2 - 1 -4.2 -17.1 +13.4
  Jan 05, 2013 313   Southern Utah L 77-90 64%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -26.1 -6.7 -18.2
  Jan 10, 2013 300   @ Eastern Washington L 59-82 36%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -28.9 -22.3 -4.6
  Jan 12, 2013 312   @ Portland St. L 74-79 39%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -11.5 -10.3 -1.0
  Jan 17, 2013 105   @ Weber St. L 70-83 7%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -5.5 +1.1 -6.9
  Jan 19, 2013 320   @ Idaho St. W 60-55 43%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -2.6 -6.9 +5.0
  Jan 24, 2013 251   Northern Colorado W 67-65 46%     7 - 12 4 - 5 -6.5 -7.1 +0.7
  Jan 26, 2013 264   North Dakota L 79-81 49%     7 - 13 4 - 6 -11.2 +4.4 -15.7
  Feb 02, 2013 313   @ Southern Utah L 67-78 39%     7 - 14 4 - 7 -17.6 -8.3 -9.0
  Feb 04, 2013 286   @ Sacramento St. W 62-61 32%     8 - 14 5 - 7 -3.7 -0.2 -3.3
  Feb 07, 2013 312   Portland St. W 79-72 63%     9 - 14 6 - 7 -6.0 -3.5 -2.3
  Feb 09, 2013 300   Eastern Washington L 74-77 OT 61%     9 - 15 6 - 8 -15.4 -13.8 -1.3
  Feb 14, 2013 251   @ Northern Colorado L 68-76 24%     9 - 16 6 - 9 -10.1 -7.0 -3.3
  Feb 16, 2013 264   @ North Dakota W 74-72 OT 26%     10 - 16 7 - 9 -0.7 -7.2 +6.2
  Feb 23, 2013 192   @ Hawaii L 50-84 14%     10 - 17 -32.0 -25.4 -5.6
  Feb 28, 2013 320   Idaho St. W 67-58 67%     11 - 17 8 - 9 -5.1 -8.1 +3.4
  Mar 02, 2013 105   Weber St. L 78-80 OT 16%     11 - 18 8 - 10 -1.0 +1.4 -2.3
  Mar 07, 2013 311   @ Montana St. L 79-83 OT 38%     11 - 19 8 - 11 -10.4 -2.6 -7.8
  Mar 09, 2013 148   @ Montana L 50-63 11%     11 - 20 8 - 12 -8.9 -15.4 +4.7
  Mar 14, 2013 105   Weber St. L 58-84 10%     11 - 21 -21.7 -16.7 -3.9
Projected Record 11.0 - 21.0 8.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%